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From April 19th to April 21st, the 2014 national market demand analysis and technical support seminar for the gear industry was held in Beijing. More than 150 representatives from gear industry enterprises, research institutes and universities attended the seminar.
The theme of this seminar is: Technology creates the market, and the market spawns technology.
Five test <br> <br> Deputy General Manager of Beijing North tooth Shicheng Wei made an opening statement.
At present, there are downward pressures on the domestic economic operation, excess capacity in some industries, and structural employment conflicts. At the same time, the recovery of the world economy is slow and the competition in the international market is fiercer. Shi Chengwei said: "In this macro situation, the domestic automotive gear industry faces five major challenges."
The five tests Shi Chengwei said are as follows:
The appreciation of the renminbi and the increase in labor costs affect the export and profitability of the automotive gear industry.
The misallocation of domestic financial resources, the increase in the cost of financing the real economy, especially the industrial economy, has led to a shortage of funds as a common phenomenon in the automotive gear industry, directly affecting the production of automobile gear industry companies, and further weakening the profitability of the automotive gear industry.
The negative impact of the US implementation of the “quantitative easing policy†has shown that foreign capital flows back to the United States, directly affecting foreign-invested enterprises’ investment in China, and exacerbating “internal devaluation and external appreciation†of the RMB, resulting in a further increase in the loss of the Chinese auto gear industry.
With the combined effects of excess production capacity, diminishing marginal return on investment, and local fiscal risks, the growth rate of investment in fixed assets may fall further in the future, resulting in insufficient strength for the continued development of the domestic gear industry.
The lack of key technologies in the domestic automotive gear industry, the homogeneity of products, and the continuous decrease in product prices. Therefore, many companies in the domestic automotive gear industry will enter the test period for survival. Industrial restructuring and upgrading and industry mergers and reorganizations exist at the same time.
Shi Chengwei pointed out after the above-mentioned five major tests: "Under the market forcing mechanism, structural adjustment and transformation and upgrading will be the direction and major tasks for the domestic automotive gear industry in the next few years. We must focus on resolving excess capacity in the automotive gear industry. Contradictions, innovation drives the development of the automotive gear industry."
Benefit from the machinery industry policy support <br> <br> researcher at Chinese Academy of Social Science Research Institute of Industrial Economics Wang Yanmei made a presentation entitled "In recent years, the machinery industry development trend and the impact on industry gears" of.
Wang Yanmei predicted: "From high-speed growth to medium-speed growth will be a long-term phase change in the machinery industry."
The mechanical industrial supply structure cannot adapt to the rapid upgrade of demand structure. During the period of “moderate growthâ€, while the pace of expansion of demand scale was declining, the demand structure was upgraded faster than product structure upgrades, and low-level production capacity was excessive. High-end product production was unable to meet domestic demand, resulting in a large number of high-end complete machines and parts products. Need to import.
Gears are mechanical basic parts and are commonly used in various mechanical transmissions. Wang Yanmei analyzed: “In recent years, although domestic gear production has grown rapidly, it still cannot meet the needs of the downstream host industry in terms of huge trade deficits. Overall, the long-term stable development of the machinery industry contributes to domestic gear. The industry has formed a stable market expectation. At the same time, industrial policies have provided unprecedented support to the development of the mechanical basic parts industry. The role of the market forcing mechanisms and policy incentives constitute an external favorable factor for the upgrading of the gear industry structure."
Wang Yanmei further summarized the specific impact of the development of the machinery industry on the development of the gear industry into the following three aspects:
The rapid growth in the machinery industry is conducive to the stable development of the gear industry. In 2012 and 2013, the output growth rate of the gear industry was higher than the average growth rate of industrial enterprises, and also higher than the average growth rate of general equipment manufacturing. Among them, the rapid growth of the auto industry has played an important role.
In 2012, China's gear imports nearly tripled its export value. This shows that the gear import substitution is huge. Domestic gear companies should rely on quality improvement and technological progress to gain a greater share in existing markets.
At present, the support of domestic industry policies for the development of the machinery industry has shifted from focusing on the integration of mainframes to focusing on improving the level of basic parts. This will bring more power to the domestic automobile gear industry with a certain scale and technical strength.
Efforts to develop core technology <br> <br> China Society of Automotive Engineering and Technology Branch Director gear, Tianjin Tianhai synchronization Holdings Ltd chairman Lu Chao said: "China gear industry is neither big nor strong, vicious competition and internal problems, multinationals squeeze foreign aggression We must act immediately to strengthen and expand the Chinese gear industry."
Lu Chao specifically expressed the initiative on behalf of the seminar: “The gear industry must seize the strategic opportunity period for the development of the next ten years to achieve high quality and leapfrog development; promote the integration of technology from a single machining technology to electromechanical and hydraulic integration. The transformation of high-end technologies such as transmissions and RV reducers will promote the market to expand from a single domestic market to an international market; increase international exchanges and realize international operations; pay close attention to the registration of tooth association registration and strive for a market-oriented enterprise. Independently-sponsored associations to promote the transformation, upgrading and innovation of the gear industry."
Li Shengqi, secretary-general of the China Automotive Automatic Transmission Innovation Union, emphasized during the seminar: “We must seize the historical development opportunities of industrial upgrading and organize in-depth cooperation with the industry and cross-industry, key component assembly companies and vehicle companies. Joint research will break through the core technological difficulties of the industry and realize the industrialization of auto transmission as soon as possible so as to win the industrial discourse power and sustainable and healthy development capabilities."
Professor Zhao Fuquan, Dean of the Institute of Automobile Industry and Technology at Tsinghua University, pointed out in the report entitled "Strategic Strategies for China's Automobile Industry and Gear Industries": "In the new situation, local companies still enjoy the benefits of continuous industrial growth. Historical opportunities, while facing unprecedented and unprecedented challenges, the so-called 'traditional advantages' are no longer satisfactory, and the competition in the era of micro-growth can only be the hard power of enterprises. Compared with vehicle companies, local vehicles that are not protected by industrial policies Component suppliers are facing more challenges, but because of the low brand dependency, their development opportunities are also greater.Therefore, local enterprises in the gear industry must take precautions, adhere to the road of normalization and internationalization, and strive to develop core technologies. Grab the new market commanding height."