The domestic polyethylene market will continue to continue
Although global high oil prices and the appreciation of the renminbi have created challenges, the Chinese polyethylene industry continues to thrive. Despite these factors, along with Sinopec’s general sales growth and PetroChina’s expansion efforts, the sector remains in a strong growth phase. Equipment utilization rates have exceeded 100%, and both production and sales are on the rise. In 2006, China's polyethylene output reached 6.077 million tons, apparent consumption was 10.92 million tons, imports totaled 4.946 million tons, and exports amounted to 39,000 tons. This marked increases of 13.3% in production, 3.3% in consumption, and 3.8% in exports, while imports fell by 7%. As a result, the self-sufficiency rate climbed to 55%, reducing industry reliance on imports by 5.31%.
From 2007 to 2010, 11 new polyethylene plants were expected to come online in locations such as Dushanzi, Panjin, Daqing, Zhenhai, Tianjin, Fushun, and Chengdu. By then, domestic production capacity would surpass 12 million tons per year, with output reaching 10 million tons annually. The self-sufficiency rate was projected to reach around 80%. Specifically, low-density polyethylene (LDPE) capacity stood at 2.03 million tons per year, high-density polyethylene (HDPE) at 4.67 million tons, and linear low-density polyethylene (LLDPE) at 5.11 million tons. China was set to become a major player in global polyethylene production.
At the China Polyethylene Market Symposium in Dalian on August 26, experts predicted that the industry would enter a peak expansion period, with supply capacity significantly increasing and market demand continuing to grow. As a general-purpose polymer, polyethylene has evolved into various forms, including LDPE, HDPE, LLDPE, ultra-high-molecular-weight polyethylene, and metallocene polyethylene. With its superior performance, it has become one of the fastest-growing synthetic resins.
Experts also highlighted that international crude oil and ethylene price fluctuations will directly impact the future of polyethylene. Production costs and market conditions remain key factors. Supply is expected to grow by about 13% due to new capacity coming online, leading to increased domestic supply and reduced imports. Market volatility is expected to decrease as Sinopec implements an integrated marketing strategy, resulting in a more stable market environment. Meanwhile, the optimization of PetroChina and Sinopec’s structures will lead to better resource allocation, reducing internal competition and strengthening the industry’s leadership.
In 2007, the ethylene tariff was eliminated, lowering import costs for polyethylene. However, experts warned that China still faces significant pressure from Middle Eastern and neighboring countries. Domestic polyethylene production lags behind global standards in terms of product quality, technology, and specialization. There is a heavy reliance on general-purpose materials, with fewer high-end products and low-value-added items dominating the market. Many high-strength polyethylene membranes and pipes are still imported, and the LLDPE market remains dominated by a single product type.
The symposium emphasized that the next few years represent a crucial opportunity for structural adjustment and growth in the polyethylene industry. Strengthening the integration of products and markets, expanding production scale, and adopting advanced foreign technologies will be essential. Efforts should focus on developing new, high-value products, promoting thermoplastic pressure pipes, and advancing the lightweight, composite, and functional development of plastic goods. Building independent intellectual property rights in high-value resins will support long-term industry growth.
Additionally, rising energy prices and increased competition in downstream industries pose risks. Domestic companies must leverage futures markets to manage price volatility and establish a stable development mechanism. Spot and futures markets for polyethylene should interact effectively to ensure healthy market growth.
Refrigeration Units Power System
781306,781306 alternative parts
Chongqing Wishcarry Trade Co.,Ltd. , https://www.wishcarry-cooler.com